Happy Halloween to all ghouls, goblins, and gallivanters! For the latter, a quick reminder: you can fly in costume, though TSA prefers that travelers not fully paint their faces. Capes must be placed in bins while going through security, and fake blood is cool (as long as it’s 3.4 oz or less). Replica weapons must be checked. Fake explosives are a hard no-go. Want to pack your jack-o’-lanterns? They’re cleared for travel, though “not advised.”
In today’s email:
Diners vs. bots: Why it’s getting harder to snag restaurant reservations.
Pilot shortage: Private aviation is bleeding cockpit talent.
Candy corn: The villainized treat remains Brach’s hero
Around the web: How your future billions can be used for good, the best Wikipedia references, and more.
👇 Listen: Would you drop $480 on the resale market for a dinner reservation?
The Big Idea
In the battle for restaurant reservations, it’s diners vs. bots
Bots are gobbling up all the hard-to-get dinner reservations, so businesses are fighting back.
2023-10-31T00:00:00Z
Sara Friedman
Have you ever finished reading a list about the hottest new restaurants in your city only to find that you can’t get a reservation at a single one?
It’s because someone — or something — already booked them. And it’s making the restaurant industry a lot less fun.
Battle of the bots
Just like Taylor Swift concert tickets, hot restaurant reservations get snatched up instantly by bots (like this one) as soon as they’re posted.
Then, the people operating those bots look to turn a profit on reservation resale sites, which are multiplying:
On Appointment Trader, users buy and sell restaurant reservations. The site takes a 20%-30% cut of the sale price and has reportedly facilitated $2.4m+ in reservation sales since launching in 2021.
Cita is a “peer-to-peer” marketplace for buying and selling reservations. A Saturday night res for two at Semma, an Indian restaurant in New York City, was recently listed for $480.
For more frugal diners, ResX is free to use. Users can exchange reservations for tokens, which can be put toward a new booking. A $10 monthly subscription lets users access “premium” restaurants.
These marketplaces, unfortunately, are a lose-lose for the rest of us.
Diners trying to book the old-fashioned way — through apps like Resy, Tock, or OpenTable — can be out of luck.
As for restaurants: When bot-booked seats go unfilled, they lose out on cancellation fees charged to invalid credit cards, and on empty tables.
Now, restaurants are fighting back
Some are painstakingly combing through reservations to confirm that they’ve been booked by a human, while others are saving more spots for walk-ins.
And there are platforms that aim to partner with restaurants, rather than usurp them:
With Dorsia, users prepay a minimum spend to secure a reservation, which is calculated based on demand. That prepayment is then applied toward their total bill.
Ultimately, restaurants are finding that the safest way to secure a reservation is to charge upfront.
So get ready to pay a reservation fee before you even step foot in a restaurant.
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Kim Kardashian’s Skims is now the official underwear partner of the NBA, WNBA, and USA Basketball. The brand, which was recently valued at $4B, introduced its first men’s collection this month with a campaign starring NBA All-Star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
SNIPPETS
General Motors reached a tentative agreement with the United Auto Workers union, ending a costly six-week strike. GM’s deal closely mirrors the Ford and Stellantis deals, which offer employees 25% raises over the life of the contract.
Meta is introducing ad-free Facebook and Instagram subscriptions to European users in response to increasing EU data regulations. The subscriptions will begin in November and start at $10.57/month.
Twitter/X introduced Premium+, a new ad-free subscription tier that also boosts the visibility of subscribers’ replies. Removing the junk users don’t want and getting unfettered access to the junk they do want will cost $16/month.
McDonald’sbeat expectations in Q3, with revenue rising 14% to $6.69B and global same-store sales growing 8.8%. The chain credited price hikes and marketing campaigns for the growth.
OpenAI is rolling out new beta features for ChatGPT Plus members, including the ability to upload files (including PDFs) and have them analyzed.
Magic Johnson, former NBA star and investor, is now a billionaire. Johnson is worth an estimated $1.2B, with his majority ownership in life insurance company EquiTrust responsible for much of his wealth.
23andMe will sell access to 80% of its users’ anonymized DNA data to drugmaker GSK for $20m.
The Writers Guild of America East has distributed apetition to leading media companies, seeking a public commitment to “never replacing a human worker with an AI tool.”
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Flying the coop
Private jets have a pilot problem
Pilots are following the money — and it’s taking them to larger commercial airlines.
2023-10-31T00:00:00Z
Ben Berkley
I’ve gotta come clean: I’ve been on a private jet.
It was for a previous job and it was a weird ride — the restroom was so sleek, it was unclear which basin was the toilet and which one was the sink. (I played it safe and waited.)
Apparently that toilet confusion was just a “me” problem: The private aviation business has been hot, perFast Company:
Usage is up 20% since the start of the pandemic.
Worldwide, there were ~5.3m private flights last year.
Private jet sales are on track for a record $34.6B year.
Wealthy customers are apparently unbothered by drawbacks like, say, the environmental impact — private jet emissions are ~10x worse than commercial flights per passenger — or the prices (leading charter provider NetJets starts at ~$6.5k/hour).
But the industry’s latest barrier…
… will be harder to overcome: There may not be anyone left to fly the planes.
This summer brought the private aviation industry an unexpected, growing pilot shortage, perRobb Report:
Leading US airlines Delta, United, and American recently signed new contracts with their pilot unions, all featuring significant raises.
Industrywide, pilot pay has increased 12% this year, and the talent wars are on — cash-rich commercial airlines are flexing their winning edge, with some airlines even paying out $100k signing bonuses.
The fallout for smaller private providers has begun: NetJets has lost 7%+ of its pilots so far this year, and rival Flexjet says it’s invested $30m in pilot retention.
Where does this go from here?
More charter providers may follow the lead of Tradewind Aviation, which positions itself as a stepping stone for young pilots to land more lucrative commercial airline jobs.
But the more private aviation leans into youth, the more they’ll face perception problems: Does less cockpit experience equate to less safe?
Alternatively: Self-flying planes are here. Cargo flights will own the first phase of testing, but perhaps private aviation will start moving toward the new tech faster than expected?
Halloween’s Most Hated
Candy corn is still winning, despite its bad rap
For Brach’s Confections, the candy corn controversy is a selling point.
2023-10-31T00:00:00Z
Juliet Bennett Rylah
Two Halloweens ago, we reported on Brach’s Confections’ surprisingly large candy corn biz.
Brach’s had decided to double down on its polarizing treat, launching a Thanksgiving bag that included a green beans flavor described by one reviewer as “unforgivable.”
How’d that go for them?
Brach’s, which produces ~90% of the world’s candy corn — that’s 30m pounds per year — is crushing it. Brach’s owner Ferrara Candy Co. doesn’t reveal sales data, but:
Last year, Katie Duffy, vice president and general manager of Ferrara’s seasonal candy, told CNNthat candy corn sales have been up YoY since 2020.
Brach’s pulled in an estimated $75m in candy corn sales in 2022, perFortune.
And remember, this isn’t Reese’s — Halloween’s most popular candy — but one that people openly despise…
… Which is part of the appeal
The controversy is free marketing. Recently, Travis Kelce — Kansas City Chiefs’ tight end and Taylor Swift’s love interest — and his brother Jason made headlines simply by discussing it. (Travis likes it, Jason hates it.)
And unlike other candies, candy corn is a Halloween icon. It’s used to decorate other treats, and its likeness is used by everyone, from Etsy sellers to brands like Nike and Vans.
Brach’s discontinued the Thanksgiving flavors, but Duffy said experimentation lives on “in a delicious way.” This year, that includes a new fan club where 100 members will receive free products year-round.
“Imagine enjoying candy corn with your sweetheart for Valentine’s Day or as a poolside snack in the summer,” the release reads.
We’d rather not, but you do you.
AROUND THE WEB
🏀 On this day: In 1997, Violet Palmer became the first woman to officiate an NBA game. Palmer officiated 919 games in total before retiring in 2016.
🤑 Haha: Solve global problems. Buy yachts. Do both?